Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs Game 4 odds, picks and predictions
The Boston Bruins visit the Toronto Maple Leafs for Game 4 of a best-of-7 Eastern Conference, 1st-round series Saturday. Puck drop from Scotiabank Arena is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (TBS/CBC). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Bruins vs. Maple Leafsodds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
Boston gained control of the series with a 4-2 win Wednesday to cash as a -102 road underdog. LW Brad Marchand led the way with 2 goals and an assist, while 6 difference Bruins players were credited with at least 1 assist.
After stealing Game 2 on the road, Toronto dropped a crucial Game 3 at home while failing to cash as a -108 favorite. LW Tyler Bertuzzi and LW Matthew Knies each scored, but it was not enough to curb a 3-goal 3rd period from the Bruins.
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Bruins at Maple Leafs odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at noon ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Bruins -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Maple Leafs -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Bruins +1.5 (-275) | Maple Leafs -1.5 (+220)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: +100 | U: -120)
Bruins at Maple Leafs projected goalies
Jeremy Swayman (25-10-8, 2.53 GAA, .916 SV%, 3 SO) vs. Ilya Samsonov (23-7-8, 3.13 GAA, .890 SV%, 3 SO)
Swayman has been a top goaltender in the NHL this season. His GAA is good for 8th-best, while his SV% is tied for 5th-best. He can be attributed as part of the reason for Boston's success, especially in this series in which he has allowed just 3 goals in 2 games.
Samsonov ranks 38th or below in both GAA and SV%, while his record is tied for 17th-best in the league. He has allowed 2 or more goals in each of the 3 games this series, totaling 9 overall. The Leafs will need Samsonov to perform well for a shot at a win Saturday.
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Bruins at Maple Leafs picks and predictions
Prediction
Bruins 3, Maple Leafs 2
Moneyline
BET BRUINS (-105).
Boston has scored 4 or more goals twice in this series, while Toronto has not scored more than 3 goals in any of the 3 games.
While the Maple Leafs have home-ice advantage, they are 0-3 in their last 3 home games and just 1-4 in their last 5 overall.
Expect the Bruins to take a commanding lead in the series with a win Saturday.
Puck line/Against the spread
PASS.
There is no value on the puck line in either direction.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 6 (-120).
The Bruins have scored 2 or fewer goals in 4 of their last 7 games and allowed 3 or fewer in each of their last 5 and 8 of their last 10.
The Leafs have scored 3 or fewer goals in each game this series and in 4 of their last 5.
Until the 3-goal period from the Bruins Wednesday, it was a tight-knit game, which should be expected again Saturday.
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